IDX-00 // Current reading
Israel situational-stability score
Hummus condition
HUMCON 4
WATCHFUL
Heightened regional volatility persists due to reported Iranian nuclear developments and shifting US policy rhetoric. Domestic conditions remain within baseline parameters despite political friction over judicial and administrative appointments.
TRD-01 // 24-hour trace
16 Sept, 11:26 → 17 Sept, 22:06
SIG-02 // Signals feed
Strongest stability signals in the current window
- +75SEVERE
שיקום תועד באתר הגרעין באיראן, טראמפ: "יש לי החלטה גדולה אם לחסלם. הכול יכול לקרות"
#0119 MIN AGOYnetsecurity - +45ELEVATED
Trump declines to back Saudi Arabia as US officials reportedly meet Iran-backed Houthis in Oman
#0228 MIN AGOFrance 24 Middle Eastsecurity - +45ELEVATED
Fresh activity emerges at Iran’s deeply buried nuclear site as Trump warns Iran not to ‘get cute’
#0345 MIN AGOFox Newssecurity - +35WATCHFUL
Saudi Arabia facing 'biggest threat' ever to oil production as Iran-proxy Houthis launch attacks, expert says
#042 H AGOFox Newssecurity - +25WATCHFUL
Major Iranian Airline Suspends Several Flights Abroad, Adding to Isolation
#051 H AGONYT Middle Eastforeign - +20WATCHFUL
סמוטריץ' מזהיר בעקבות החלטת קק"ל: "זה עלול להתפוצץ חלילה באוקטובר הבא"
#0652 MIN AGOArutz Shevapolitics - +20WATCHFUL
Russia and China Veto U.S. Bid to Renew U.N. Monitoring of Iran Nuclear Program
#071 H AGONYT Middle Eastforeign - +20WATCHFUL
דנון באו"ם: ישראל לא תאפשר לסוריה להפוך לבסיס שמאיים עליה
#081 H AGOArutz Shevaforeign
LOG-08 // Situation log
Recent condition changes
- 5 H AGO3 · ELEVATED4 · WATCHFUL@ 35
Domestic security concerns and political friction remain consistent with recent trends. Market indicators show relative stability despite regional energy price worries.
- 12 H AGO4 · WATCHFUL3 · ELEVATED@ 43
Political polarization remains elevated due to election-related legal and campaign rhetoric. Stability is moderated by strong equity market performance and the lack of immediate security escalations.
- 19 H AGO3 · ELEVATED4 · WATCHFUL@ 35
Security conditions remain stable despite localized regional tensions. Political discourse continues to be dominated by internal coalition maneuvering and legislative friction.
- 22 H AGO4 · WATCHFUL3 · ELEVATED@ 44
Domestic security concerns regarding localized arms proliferation and ongoing legislative debates remain the primary drivers. Market indicators remain stable despite regional tensions involving Houthi activities.
- 24 H AGO3 · ELEVATED4 · WATCHFUL@ 36
Security tensions on the northern border and internal political friction regarding military oversight sustain moderate instability. Financial markets remain resilient with minimal impact from external economic volatility.
- 25 H AGO4 · WATCHFUL3 · ELEVATED@ 43
Domestic political instability regarding security authorities and internal friction remain elevated. Northern border operations continue to drive security sensitivity; however, financial markets exhibit relative resilience.
- 26 H AGO3 · ELEVATED4 · WATCHFUL@ 33
Security remains strained due to ongoing regional counter-terrorism operations and anticipation of military escalation in Lebanon. Domestic political volatility persists amid controversies over ministerial appointments and public discourse.
- 29 H AGO4 · WATCHFUL3 · ELEVATED@ 47
Security alerts remain localized with foiled espionage attempts causing limited friction. Political discourse is active but stable; market indicators show resilience with minor volatility.
SIG-06 // Field signals
Ground truth, last 24 hours
- 50Sirens7 H AGO
מנרה, מרגליות
MKT-04 // Market watch
Shekel, TASE sectors, defense index, and oil
- FX
USD / ILS
USDILS · as of 19 h ago
3.0333
+0.07%
- FX
EUR / ILS
EURILS · as of 19 h ago
3.4825
-0.42%
- FX
GBP / ILS
GBPILS · as of 19 h ago
4.0575
-0.52%
- IDX
TA-125
TA125 · as of 4 h ago
4,164.35
+0.94%
- IDX
TA-Banks 5
TABANKS · as of 4 h ago
9,242.32
-1.46%
- IDX
TA-Insurance
TAINS · as of 4 h ago
12,032.68
+2.32%
- IDX
TA-Defense
TADEF · as of 4 h ago
3,261.80
+0.68%
- OIL
Brent Crude
BRENT · as of 20 min ago
104.64
-1.12%
SRC-05 // Sensor array
22 monitored feeds
- N12
- Ynet
- Kan 11
- Channel 13
- Walla
- Israel Hayom
- Jerusalem Post
- Times of Israel
- Arutz Sheva
- Calcalist
- Globes
- i24NEWS
- Channel 14
- Google News Israel
- CNN Middle East
- NYT Middle East
- France 24 Middle East
- Fox News
- Visegrad24
- Al Jazeera
- Al Arabiya
- Gulf News
DOC-99 // The briefing
What this is and how to read it
What is the Hummus Index and how it works
The Hummus Index is a live measure of Israel's situational stability. It turns a broad and noisy picture into one clear score. Higher scores indicate greater instability.
An AI agent continuously collects information from local and international news, emergency sirens, flight activity, and financial markets. It filters out irrelevant items, checks reports across sources, and scores each development by how much it may stabilize or destabilize the situation. The system then combines the results into the reading on the dial and the short brief above it.
Direct signals such as sirens, widespread flight cancellations, or sharp market moves can set a minimum score regardless of the broader calculation. The baseline also adjusts gradually during long-running events, helping the dial emphasize meaningful changes rather than familiar conditions.
This is an automated estimate from open sources. Not a forecast, and not an official assessment of anything. Treat accordingly.
Reading the dial
- HC-50–19 · CALMQuiet. Routine coverage, no destabilizing signals. The hummus is undisturbed.
- HC-420–39 · WATCHFULNormal Israeli baseline: background friction, nothing acute.◂ current condition
- HC-340–59 · ELEVATEDA real destabilizing development is in play.
- HC-260–79 · SEVEREMajor crisis unfolding across multiple dimensions.
- HC-180–100 · CRITICALWar-level national emergency. Breaking developments dominate every source.
API-07 // Embed the dial
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